2026 Hurricane Season Tracking Well Below Normal As July Winds Down

The 2026 season has produced just one named tropical system through early July, and activity remains quiet for the coming weeks. The reduced forecast is tied to moderate El Niño conditions expected to intensify by mid-September, the peak of the hurricane season. Colorado State University now projects 9 named storms and 4 hurricanes, with below-average odds for a major hurricane landfall on the U.S. coast.

However, forecasters emphasize a measured perspective: coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Florida faces a 43% chance of being impacted by a hurricane this season, underscoring the need for preparation regardless of seasonal outlooks.

**What it means for you:** This quieter-than-average forecast window is your golden opportunity. Rather than waiting for storm watches, now is the time to complete structural upgrades: trim trees, install storm shutters or impact glass, and gather plywood or panels for boarding. Contact your insurance company for a coverage review to ensure your home and belongings are adequately protected. Stock a home hurricane kit with water, non-perishable food, flashlights, batteries, a first aid kit, and important documents in waterproof containers. If you need flood insurance, apply now—it carries a 30-day waiting period and should not be purchased once a storm is in the forecast.