2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Continues to Track Below Normal as Peak Months Approach

Based on recent search results, I have solid, current information on the 2026 hurricane season forecast and home preparation guidance. Let me write the brief:

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The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season has a 75 percent chance of being below normal, according to updated forecasts released in early August. Colorado State University expects nine named storms, four hurricanes and one major hurricane to form in 2026, while NOAA's updated forecast gives the season a 70 percent probability of producing between seven and 13 named storms, two to six hurricanes and zero to two major hurricanes.

Forecasters attribute this quieter-than-average outlook to developing El Niño conditions, which suppress tropical activity. To date, the 2026 season has produced two named tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, and no hurricanes. However, experts caution against complacency. Seasonal forecasts cannot determine where storms will form, when they will strike or whether a particular community will experience a tropical storm or hurricane; "It only takes one storm to make for a very bad season," according to NOAA.

**What it means for you:** As a new Treasure Coast homeowner, now is the time to finalize hurricane preparations. Florida hurricane prep is simplest on a calendar: season runs June 1 to November 30, but about 78% of activity falls between mid-August and mid-October. Follow Florida's Five Steps to Hurricane Preparedness: Know your home and evacuation zone; make a family emergency plan; build a kit with food, water, and medications; keep your vehicle fueled; and avoid unnecessary long-distance evacuations. Florida emergency management recommends keeping at least 7 days of supplies on hand, including food, water, medications, and batteries.